🔥 Texas Showdown Brewing: Ken Paxton vs. John Cornyn in 2026 GOP Senate Primary
Buckle up, Texas — the political temperature is already rising as Attorney General Ken Paxton has officially announced his run for U.S. Senate, challenging longtime incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in what’s shaping up to be a fiery Republican primary in 2026.
In a move that surprised few political insiders but still sent shockwaves through the Texas GOP, Paxton dropped the news during a Fox News interview, declaring, “It’s definitely time for a change in Texas.”
But this isn’t just your typical Senate race. This one’s personal, political, and deeply tied to the ever-persistent influence of Donald Trump in the Republican party. Paxton, a staunch Trump loyalist, is making it clear: this race is about who truly has Trump’s back — and who doesn’t.
🧨 A History of Clashes: Cornyn vs. Paxton
Let’s not pretend this rivalry is brand new. For months, Paxton has been dropping hints that Cornyn, who’s been in the Senate since 2002, is out of touch with today’s GOP base. He’s repeatedly painted Cornyn as part of the “old guard” of Republicans — the kind who play nice in Washington rather than throw punches for conservative causes.
Cornyn, not one to shy away from a fight, has criticized Paxton for the legal baggage he’s carried for most of his tenure. Let’s not forget — Paxton’s been under scrutiny for years. He faced securities fraud charges dating back to 2015 (later dropped in 2023) and was impeached by the Texas House in 2023 over allegations of abuse of office — including using a burner Uber account to visit a woman with whom he was allegedly having an affair. He was later acquitted by the GOP-led state Senate.
Cornyn’s campaign wasted no time in hitting back. “This will be a spirited campaign and we assure Texans they will have a real choice when this race is over,” said his team on X (formerly Twitter), also calling Paxton a “fraud.”
🚨 Trump Factor: Who’s Really MAGA?
This primary isn’t just about policies or personalities — it’s about who carries the Trump flag higher.
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Paxton: Has been all in on Trump from the start. His campaign site features him cozying up to Trump in multiple photos. He’s filed lawsuits to overturn the 2020 election results in four battleground states. He even spoke at the infamous rally on Jan. 6, 2021, right before the Capitol riot.
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Cornyn: More of a complicated history. Though he supported many of Trump’s initiatives — including tax cuts and Supreme Court picks during Trump’s first term — Cornyn held off on endorsing Trump for the 2024 GOP nomination, stating in mid-2023 that he felt Trump’s time “had passed.”
Eventually, Cornyn came around. After Trump’s early wins in the 2024 primaries, he backed him, saying, “Now I’m running for reelection … so President Trump and I can pick up where we left off.” That line came from his campaign launch video released just last month.
🎯 Key Issues That Could Swing Voters
What might give one man the edge over the other? Let’s look at what’s driving Texas Republicans:
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Gun Rights: Cornyn caught heat for his role in crafting a bipartisan gun safety law in 2022 after the Uvalde school shooting. That didn’t sit well with the hard-right base — he was booed at the Texas GOP convention while the legislation was in the works.
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Trump Loyalty: While Paxton has never wavered in his support of Trump, Cornyn has danced around it at times. This alone might give Paxton a serious advantage in a primary where loyalty to Trump is practically a litmus test.
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Legal Controversies: Paxton’s resilience amid scandal is either admirable or alarming — depending on who you ask. He’s survived a years-long indictment, a state-level impeachment, and federal investigations. Trump himself has praised Paxton’s ability to take hits and keep swinging.
👀 Could There Be a Third Player?
There’s buzz about another name entering the ring: Rep. Wesley Hunt, a rising star in Texas politics. He’s been airing ads across the state and has a strong relationship with Trump, whom he backed early in the 2024 primary.
While Hunt hasn’t made any formal announcements, he could seriously shake up the race if he decides to jump in. Think of him as the potential “dark horse” who could split the vote — or steal the spotlight.
🔍 Democrats Watching Closely
Texas hasn’t elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1988, but don’t think they’re not watching this primary closely.
After Rep. Colin Allred lost to Ted Cruz by about 10 points in 2024, Texas Democrats were left licking their wounds. However, there’s talk that Allred might give it another shot — and national Democrats, desperate for opportunities in red states, may be tempted to pour resources into Texas if the GOP primary gets ugly enough.
Allred has publicly said he’s “seriously considering” another run. If Paxton were to win the primary, Democrats may see an opening to sway moderate or swing voters unnerved by his legal troubles.
📈 Cornyn's Career: From Power Broker to Primary Target
John Cornyn’s resume is nothing to scoff at:
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Elected to the Senate in 2002
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Former Attorney General of Texas
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Served as Senate Majority Whip during Trump’s first term
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Instrumental in passing the 2017 tax cuts
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Narrowly lost a bid to become Senate Majority Leader to John Thune in 2023
But longevity in politics can be a blessing or a curse — especially in today’s Republican Party, where establishment figures often face rebellion from populist candidates.
Cornyn has been working hard to rebuild his standing with Trump supporters. He invited Texas GOP Chairman Abraham George to attend Trump’s 2024 State of the Union address and has been vocal in backing Trump’s Cabinet nominees in the second term.
Still, many Texas conservatives see him as too centrist — especially compared to firebrands like Paxton.
🔮 What’s Next?
So what should we expect between now and the 2026 primary?
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A Trump Endorsement: This could be the ultimate decider. Trump hasn’t weighed in yet, and both men are clearly vying for his nod.
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More Dirt: Expect both sides to dig into each other’s records. Paxton’s impeachment details, Cornyn’s past statements about Trump — nothing is off-limits.
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Possible Wildcards: Could Hunt jump in? Will Democrats run a competitive candidate?
One thing’s for sure: This isn’t just another Senate primary. This is a battle for the soul of the Texas GOP.
And as Paxton said on Fox News, “We have another great U.S. senator, Ted Cruz, and it’s time we have another great senator that will actually stand up and fight for Republican values… and support Donald Trump.”
Texas politics just got a whole lot more interesting — and we’re only getting started. Stay tuned.
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