Donald Trump’s Approval Rating: What’s Really Going On?
Donald Trump’s approval ratings have been a hot topic since he announced his return to the political spotlight. After hitting some of the lowest points during his second term back in April, his numbers have shown a bit of a rebound lately. But what’s really driving this shift? And how does Trump’s current standing compare to his first term, or even to other presidents in history?
Let’s unpack all the details, dive into the polls, and get a better sense of where Trump stands in the eyes of the American public.
The Latest Poll Numbers: A Mixed Bag
Trump’s approval ratings fluctuate depending on the poll you look at — and this week’s data is no different. Here’s a quick rundown of some of the recent surveys:
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Gallup Poll (May 1-18): Shows Trump at 43% approval, a slight uptick from his recent lows.
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Reuters/Ipsos Poll (as of May 18): 42% of respondents gave Trump a favorable rating.
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The Economist (May 27 update): Finds 44% approval and 51% disapproval.
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Rasmussen Reports (May 30): 53% approve while 46% disapprove — this is one of the highest approval marks recently.
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YouGov (May 23-26): 44% approval and 52% disapproval.
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Morning Consult (May 23-25): 48% approval versus 51% disapproval.
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American Research Group (May 17-20): 41% approval and 55% disapproval.
Notice the range? From low 40s to low 50s, these numbers reflect a divided electorate, with a clear split on whether folks approve or disapprove of the former president’s performance and policies.
What Has Trump Been Up To Lately?
Trump’s been making headlines almost daily. Just recently, he granted pardons to a few notable figures, including reality TV stars Julie and Todd Chrisley and infamous Chicago gang leader Larry Hoover. These decisions sparked plenty of debate and media buzz, certainly impacting how some people view his leadership.
Meanwhile, Trump’s also been targeting institutions like Harvard University, trying to block the Ivy League giant from admitting international students. It’s part of a broader strategy to tighten immigration and education policies — moves that excite some of his base and alarm others.
On the trade front, he’s been in the spotlight after a federal court struck down some of his tariffs. When a reporter asked Trump about financial analysts coining the phrase “TACO trade” — which stands for “Trump Always Chickens Out” — he didn’t hold back, lashing out at the criticism. The term highlights how he backed off from some steep import tariffs he once imposed. This mix of aggressive policy moves paired with unexpected retreats keeps his approval ratings swinging.
Trump’s Approval: First Term vs. Now
Comparing Trump’s current ratings with his first term is eye-opening. When he left office in January 2021, his approval rating sat at a relatively low 34%. Throughout that first term, he averaged about 41%. Now, hovering around 43-48% depending on the poll, it seems he’s maintaining or slightly improving from where he was right at the end of his presidency.
This suggests a strong core of supporters who remain loyal, but also a significant chunk of the population that’s not on board with his policies or persona.
How Do Trump’s Numbers Stack Up Against Other Presidents?
It’s always interesting to compare one president’s approval rating with those who came before. Here’s a snapshot:
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Joe Biden: Currently around 40%
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Donald Trump (First Term): 34%
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Barack Obama: 59%
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George W. Bush: 34%
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Bill Clinton: 66%
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George H.W. Bush: 56%
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Ronald Reagan: 63%
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Jimmy Carter: 34%
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Gerald Ford: 53%
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Richard Nixon: 24%
These numbers tell a story: some presidents maintain high approval ratings through their terms, while others—like Trump and George W. Bush—experienced rough patches. Trump’s current ratings, near the mid-40s, put him somewhere in the middle of the pack.
What Do These Approval Ratings Actually Mean?
Approval ratings might seem straightforward, but they carry a lot of weight. According to Gallup, these numbers are a “simple measure, yet a very powerful one,” shaping politics for over 70 years.
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What it reflects: The percentage of Americans who approve of how the president is doing his job.
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What influences it: Everything — legislation passed, economic conditions, scandals, speeches, international events, and even the president’s personality.
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Why it matters: It can determine political capital, influence upcoming elections, and affect how much a president can get done.
ABC News emphasizes that while approval ratings are a snapshot of public opinion, they often foreshadow election outcomes or legislative success. In other words, a high approval rating can be a green light for a president to push their agenda; a low rating might slow them down or signal trouble ahead.
The Challenge of Polarization
One major factor complicating the interpretation of these ratings is the intense political polarization in America today. Analysts from Quorum and Pew Research Center note that while presidential approval ratings have always been partisan, the gap between Republicans and Democrats has widened significantly in recent decades.
Here’s the kicker:
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Republicans tend to rate their party’s president much higher.
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Democrats give far lower marks, and vice versa.
This growing divide means that some polls reflect party loyalty more than an unbiased evaluation of presidential performance. It makes understanding the true sentiment of the nation a bit trickier.
Key Takeaways — What to Watch Next
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Pardons and political moves: Trump’s high-profile pardons and confrontations with institutions like Harvard continue to fuel media coverage and public debate.
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Trade policies: The “TACO trade” saga highlights how Trump’s trade stance, once aggressive, has softened, which some voters view as flip-flopping.
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Polling variability: Different polls tell slightly different stories, but most hover around the 40-50% approval range.
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Comparison with history: Trump’s current approval is better than his final rating in office but still behind some past presidents.
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Polarization’s role: Approval ratings are influenced heavily by party loyalty, which skews overall perception.
Why It All Matters
For political junkies, these numbers are more than just statistics — they’re barometers of power and influence. Whether you love him or loathe him, Trump’s approval ratings signal how much support he has going into future elections or political battles.
For the average American, understanding approval ratings helps explain why certain policies succeed or fail, why some politicians push back harder against Trump, and why the media often fixates on these numbers.
So, where does Trump go from here? That depends on a lot — how his political team navigates controversies, whether his policies resonate with voters, and how the opposition responds. But one thing is clear: Trump’s approval ratings remain a roller coaster ride, reflecting a deeply divided nation with strong opinions on both sides.
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