UFC Fight Night 247: Expert Picks and Betting Insights for Magny vs. Prates

In a thrilling main event, Neil Magny is set to face off against Carlos Prates in a 5-round welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night 247. This much-anticipated match-up, also known as UFC on ESPN+ 105 and UFC Vegas 100, is happening at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, where the intensity will be high as the two fighters collide in a clash of skill, experience, and determination. With the prelims kicking off at 4 p.m. ET and the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, fans can expect an action-packed night that could have serious implications for both fighters' careers. Let’s dive into the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and break down what might unfold between Magny and Prates, complete with expert predictions and betting insights.

Tale of the Tape: Experience Meets Momentum

• Neil Magny
  Nicknamed “The Haitian Sensation,” Magny has built a reputation as a tough, tactical fighter with years of experience in the UFC. Sporting a professional record of 29-13-0, the 37-year-old brings both skill and a significant reach advantage (two inches) into the octagon. Known for his precise striking, Magny lands an average of 3.44 significant strikes per minute with a solid accuracy rate of 58.94%. He’s also capable on the ground, with a takedown average of 2.15 and an accuracy of 40.41%.

  However, Magny’s recent form has been unpredictable. In his last eight bouts dating back to March 2022, he’s alternated wins and losses, which has left fans wondering if he can regain consistency. His most recent fight saw him suffer a disappointing first-round TKO loss to Michael Morales in late August. Despite this setback, Magny remains a formidable veteran, determined to bounce back and showcase his resilience.

• Carlos Prates
  On the other side of the octagon is Carlos Prates, a powerhouse fighter whose recent track record has been nothing short of spectacular. Prates (20-6-0) is a name that’s rapidly gaining traction, especially with his knockout power. Since joining the UFC, Prates has rattled off three straight KO/TKO wins, building up a streak of nine KO/TKO victories across all competitions since December 2021. His reputation as a knockout artist has fans buzzing with anticipation as he steps into one of the biggest matches of his career.

  In his last fight, Prates defeated Mitch Ramirez in the Dana White’s Contender Series, solidifying his standing with a second-round KO/TKO win. Prates’ striking prowess and aggression make him a force to be reckoned with, and he’s eager to maintain his impressive momentum against Magny.

UFC Fight Night 247: Magny vs. Prates Odds by BetMGM Sportsbook

For fans and bettors alike, the odds provided by BetMGM shed light on the potential outcome of this fight:

• Fight Result (2-Way Line):

  • Magny +550 (Bet $100 to win $550)
  • Prates -800 (Bet $800 to win $100)

• Total Rounds:

  • 1.5 Rounds (Over -125 | Under -105)

• Will the Fight Go the Distance?

  • Yes +450
  • No -800

With Prates heavily favored at -800, it’s clear that oddsmakers are backing his knockout ability and upward trajectory. Betting on Prates might be costly for casual bettors since you’d need to wager $800 to make a $100 profit. Magny, however, is an underdog at +550, meaning a $100 bet could yield a $550 return if he pulls off the upset.

Magny vs. Prates: Our Expert Picks and Predictions

• Fight Outcome (Moneyline/2-Way Line):
  Prates’ -800 odds indicate the heavy favorite status due to his knockout streak and reputation as a powerhouse. The Brazilian's relentless striking will likely challenge Magny’s defense, and fans will watch closely to see how Magny handles this formidable offensive style. While Prates’ power and momentum make him a tempting pick, it’s risky to place a standalone wager at these odds, as the potential return doesn’t justify the high stake.

  That said, PRATES BY KO/TKO (-400) offers a more appealing play. This “method of victory” wager still requires a high risk-to-reward ratio, but it’s a safer bet on the board for a multi-leg parlay rather than a single bet. For fans looking to maximize their picks, adding this to a parlay could enhance overall returns while capitalizing on Prates’ likelihood of a knockout finish.

• Over/Under (O/U) Rounds:
  The O/U for this fight is set at 1.5 rounds, and the “over” (-125) offers intriguing potential for bettors expecting a drawn-out battle. Magny’s experience could allow him to withstand Prates’ early onslaught, pushing the fight past the first half of Round 2. Though Prates has won by KO/TKO in all three of his UFC fights, two of those fights reached at least the halfway point in Round 2, suggesting that Magny’s veteran endurance could keep him in the game a little longer. The “under” (-105), however, also presents value for those anticipating a quick finish from Prates.

Magny’s Path to Victory: Can Experience Overcome Power?

For Magny to come out on top, he’ll need to play to his strengths by using his reach to keep Prates at a distance, avoiding the Brazilian’s heavy strikes. Known for his high fight IQ, Magny can’t afford to rush; he should aim to draw Prates into a longer battle, gradually wearing him down with precise jabs and well-timed takedowns. Additionally, if Magny can last into the later rounds, his conditioning and strategy could give him an advantage over Prates, who has shown a tendency to finish fights early. In this scenario, Magny’s defense and experience will be crucial.

Prates’ Power Game: The Likely Path to Victory

If Prates wants to maintain his knockout streak, he’ll need to stay aggressive from the opening bell. His success largely hinges on his ability to corner Magny and land clean, powerful strikes, which could lead to an early finish. Fans have seen Prates dominate with his relentless pressure, and if he can overwhelm Magny’s defense, another KO/TKO victory seems highly likely.

For those looking to add variety to their betting strategy, consider incorporating Prates by KO/TKO into a multi-leg parlay, potentially pairing it with other high-probability picks from the night’s lineup. If you’re inclined to add the “over 1.5 rounds” option as well, this may yield solid returns without overly aggressive risk.

How to Watch UFC Fight Night 247

For anyone eager to catch the action live, UFC Fight Night 247 will be available on ESPN+. Subscribers can tune into the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET. Don’t miss out on what’s sure to be an unforgettable night, packed with thrilling fights and standout performances.

For the latest UFC news and in-depth fight analysis, visit MMA Junkie or follow SportsbookWire for more sports betting insights. You can also follow expert Kevin J. Erickson on social media for ongoing coverage and picks.